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29 posts tagged with "macroeconomics"

Macroeconomic trends and analysis

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The Strategic Bitcoin Reserve at 90 Days: A Vault That Hasn't Bought a Single Coin
·Dora Noda·12 min

The Strategic Bitcoin Reserve at 90 Days: A Vault That Hasn't Bought a Single Coin

The U.S. holds 328,000 BTC but has not bought a satoshi on the open market. Inside the legal gridlock, the budget-neutral funding plan, and what Patrick Witt's promised breakthrough actually means.

Bitcoin
regulation
policy
treasury
+1
Warsh, Bitcoin, and the End of Rate-Cut Hope: Has Crypto Finally Decoupled From the Fed?
·Dora Noda·10 min

Warsh, Bitcoin, and the End of Rate-Cut Hope: Has Crypto Finally Decoupled From the Fed?

Kevin Warsh's Fed Chair confirmation lands as Bitcoin's correlation with global central bank policy has structurally inverted — testing whether crypto has finally decoupled from rate-cut hope or still trades on it.

Bitcoin
Federal Reserve
macroeconomics
institutional-investment
+1
The Tariff Verdict Bitcoin Couldn't Cash: $133B in Refund Limbo and the Section 232 Loophole That Survived SCOTUS
·Dora Noda·10 min

The Tariff Verdict Bitcoin Couldn't Cash: $133B in Refund Limbo and the Section 232 Loophole That Survived SCOTUS

SCOTUS struck down IEEPA tariffs on February 20, 2026, but Bitcoin barely flinched. The reason: Section 232 metals tariffs survived, and U.S. miners are still paying a 47% cost penalty that's reshuffling global hashrate.

Bitcoin
Mining
macroeconomics
regulation
+1
Russia Just Made Bitcoin a Monetary Policy Tool — And the G20 Has No Playbook
·Dora Noda·11 min

Russia Just Made Bitcoin a Monetary Policy Tool — And the G20 Has No Playbook

Russia's Central Bank Governor publicly credited Bitcoin mining with strengthening the ruble — the first G20 monetary authority to treat hash rate as currency policy infrastructure. What this rewires for sanctions-era macro and what the rest of the G20 has to do next.

Bitcoin
Mining
financial regulation
macroeconomics
+1
Bitcoin Crashed When Hormuz Closed. Gold Hit a Record. So Much for Digital Gold.
·Dora Noda·10 min

Bitcoin Crashed When Hormuz Closed. Gold Hit a Record. So Much for Digital Gold.

Iran shut the Strait of Hormuz again and Bitcoin fell to $76,000 while gold printed an all-time high. The April 2026 crash is the cleanest evidence yet that the post-ETF Bitcoin market trades like the Nasdaq, not like gold.

Bitcoin
macroeconomics
ETF
institutional-investment
+1
Bitcoin Whales Just Bought 270,000 BTC in 30 Days — The Largest Monthly Accumulation Since 2013
·Dora Noda·9 min

Bitcoin Whales Just Bought 270,000 BTC in 30 Days — The Largest Monthly Accumulation Since 2013

Whale wallets quietly absorbed 270,000 BTC in 30 days — the largest monthly accumulation since 2013 — while retail panicked, exchange reserves hit a 7-year low, and BlackRock's IBIT kept buying the dip.

Bitcoin
institutional-investment
ETF
BlackRock
+1
Bitcoin's Fastest Sentiment Reversal: How the Institutional Floor Stopped the 2026 Crash
·Dora Noda·10 min

Bitcoin's Fastest Sentiment Reversal: How the Institutional Floor Stopped the 2026 Crash

Bitcoin crashed 52% from its all-time high in February 2026 as the Fear & Greed Index hit a historic low of 5. Ten weeks later, the index sits at Greed — the fastest sentiment recovery in crypto history, driven by $18.7 billion in Q1 ETF inflows that created an institutional floor no previous cycle had.

Bitcoin
crypto market
institutional-investment
ETF
+1
Bitcoin's Geopolitical Beta: Why BTC Moves With NASDAQ — Not Gold — in the Iran Crisis
·Dora Noda·9 min

Bitcoin's Geopolitical Beta: Why BTC Moves With NASDAQ — Not Gold — in the Iran Crisis

The Iran-US conflict is providing the most brutal real-world test of Bitcoin's 'digital gold' thesis in history. BTC dropped 12% as gold surged — here's why the war reveals Bitcoin's true nature as a monetary-era asset, not a geopolitical hedge.

crypto
investment-research
macroeconomics
regulation
+3
Is Bitcoin's Four-Year Cycle Dead? How ETFs, Macro Forces, and $128B in Institutional Capital Rewrote the Rules
·Dora Noda·9 min

Is Bitcoin's Four-Year Cycle Dead? How ETFs, Macro Forces, and $128B in Institutional Capital Rewrote the Rules

Bitcoin's legendary four-year halving cycle has failed for the first time — the post-halving year finished red as $128B in ETF capital made supply shocks irrelevant. Three competing models explain what comes next.

Bitcoin
crypto
institutional-investment
ETF
+2
Showing 1–9 of 29 posts